consumer confidence – Michmutters
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Business

Aussie company collapses up to 50 per cent since April, Creditorwatch finds

It’s no secret there has been a “massive rise” in Australian companies collapsing but new findings show they have skyrocketed by a whopping 50 per cent since April.

The construction industry has faced a particular crisis with dozens of firms going under this year, but everything from billion dollar tech starts up to grocery delivery companies have become casualties of this “disturbing trend”.

Overall, companies going into external administration are up 46 per cent year-on-year, while court actions are up 54 per cent year-on-year, the latest data from credit reporting agency CreditorWatch found.

The huge jump has been blamed on interest rate rises causing “cheap money” to dry up, while spooked investors are pulling back on spending their cash on start-ups as valuations have taken a dramatic dive, with a slew of staff cuts battering the sector .

Meanwhile many businesses are already suffering depleted cash reserves as a result of the pandemic and the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) has ramped up its debt collection, according to the agency.

‘Ramping up legal action’

CreditorWatch has issued a chilling warning that the rise in business insolvencies will continue this year as multiple impacts batter the economy including ongoing supply chain issues, declining consumer confidence, rising interest rates, inflation and labor shortages.

CreditorWatch chief executive Patrick Coghlan said the hands-off approach to debt collection adopted by the ATO and many lenders during the pandemic is clearly over.

“The massive rise in external administrations is certainly a disturbing trend – now up 50 per cent since April. Our data shows that court actions are back to pre-Covid levels and the ATO has also stated that it is ramping up legal action for outstanding debts,” he said.

“With business and consumer confidence declining and inflation and interest rates on the rise, this doesn’t bode well for businesses, particularly small and medium enterprises whose cash reserves were depleted during the pandemic and are now operating on much tighter margins.”

No longer ‘awash with cash’

Aussie start-ups have been particularly hard hit, with the casualties piling up in the tech sector.

The latest was an Australian tech company called Metigy, which left staff “shell-shocked” by its sudden collapse last week, after it planned to raise money with a valuation of $1 billion.

Businesses that are trying to raise money for growth are particularly at risk in the current environment, added CreditorWatch chief economist Anneke Thompson.

“When interest rates were low and the world was awash with cash, investors were hungry for investment opportunities, and willing to move up the risk curve to find good returns,” she said.

“Now that cash is being consumed by ever-increasing prices and debt costs a lot more, the appetite for risk is dropping.

“Start-up businesses or those in the growth phase are always considered riskier. We have already seen this phenomenon hit the tech sector, and many well-known companies are being repriced to reflect this.”

Other recently failed Australian start-ups include grocery delivery service Send, which went into liquidation at the end of May, after the company spent $11 million in eight months to stay afloat.

There was also a Victorian food delivery company that styled itself as a rival to UberEats and Deliveroo that collapsed in July as it became unprofitable, despite making more than $6 million worth of deliveries since it launched in 2017 and had 18,000 customers.

Meanwhile Australia’s first ever neobank founded in 2017, Volt Bank, went under last month with 140 staff losing their jobs, while 6000 customers were told to urgently withdraw their funds.

A venture capital firm issued a sobering message about the state of Australia’s start-up industry, warning that more new companies would go bust and pulling back on funding as a result.

CreditorWatch also identified five regions where businesses are most at risk of going under with the suburbs of Merrylands, Canterbury and Auburn in NSW on the list, alongside Surfers Paradise and Ormeau in Queensland.

Construction collapses to continue

After four consecutive months of increases to interest rates and inflation continuing to rise, it is now clear that a slowdown in demand in many industries is inevitable, added Ms Thompson.

She said construction companies will continue to be impacted by late payments and reduced demand, particularly smaller operators.

The most recent company impacted was Melbourne-based Blint Builder which collapsed this week with approximately $1 million in outstanding debt owed to 50 creditors, according to the liquidators.

It joined smaller operators like Hotondo Homes Horsham, which was based in Victoria and a franchisee of a national construction firm – which collapsed in July affecting 11 homeowners with $1.2 million in outstanding debt.

It was the second Hotondo Homes franchisee to go under this year, with its Hobart branch collapsing in January owing $1.3 million to creditors, according to a report from liquidator Revive Financial.

Others include two major Australian construction companies, Gold Coast-based Condev and industry giant Probuild, which went into liquidation earlier this year.

There was also Norris Construction Group, which was in Geelong, collapsed in March with $27 million in debt. It owes $3.2 million to around 140 staff that it is unlikely to be able to repay, according to the liquidator’s report.

Meanwhile, Snowdon Developments was ordered into liquidation by the Supreme Court with 52 staff members, 550 homes and more than 250 creditors owed just under $18 million, although it was partially bought out less than 24 hours after going bust.

Other casualties this year include Inside Out Construction, Solido Builders, Waterford Homes, Affordable Modular Homes and Statement Builders.

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Business

Cost of living: Australians react by eating out, spending $3 billion extra

recession? Who cares! Aussies are spending wildly on dining out as the ship goes down.

Australia is officially sick of cooking dinner, and we’re done with Uber Eats: we eat in now. At current restaurants.

The latest retail trade data shows Australians have had it up to here with food that comes in plastic boxes and cardboard tubs. We want to go out. We want ambience. We want proper printed menus, commercial crockery, and the kind of wine glasses you’d never have at home because they are as big as your head.

As the next chart shows, it’s not that we’ve stopped buying takeaway food altogether – it’s just that we’ve gone mad for restaurant spending.

Forget pre-pandemic levels – Aussies spent $3 billion dollars on restaurants, cafes and catering in just the month of June. That’s unheard of. We don’t give a damn about Covid and we also don’t care about the possibility of an upcoming recession. We are living for the moment.

Special shout-out to Tasmania too, where spending has gone from under $30 million to almost $60 million. I feel sympathy for the stressed and overworked waiters of Hobart just looking at this chart.

There’s a lot of pent-up birthday dinners in the above charts. Wedding anniversaries too, as well as simple nights at the pub.

I know I’ve been taking the chance whenever I can order a coffee in a cup that doesn’t have a little plastic lid. I actually sit in a cafe and sip it. This chart shows I’m not alone.

Whether Australians are thronging to fine dining or greasy chip joints, we are doing it despite Covid. The most recent retail spending data is from the month of June, so it doesn’t fully capture the latest wave driven by variant BA.5, but Covid has been an ever-present threat throughout this period when restaurant spending was rising. We’re not post-pandemic yet, even if we would like to be.

But what is different from 2020 and 2021 seems to be attitudes: We couldn’t give a stuff. Restaurateurs must be loving it (while infectious disease physicians might have another view).

fear fatigue

Australians are overly concerned. Before we celebrate this too much, we should remember the many with chronic illnesses and immune susceptibility for whom fear fatigue is not an option. Covid is killing more of us than ever. What’s different is we’ve assimilated that information. It’s part of the background hum now, rather than a salient and terrifying factor that affects people’s choices.

New risks are more frightening than old risks. Which is why you might think economic factors could be impeding restaurant spending. There’s a lot of chatter about recession risk, and when you look at surveys of consumer confidence, people report feeling gloomy. ANZ calls it “recession-level” confidence.

Once upon a time consumer confidence was a good guide to spending. But not now, apparently! Real recession level confidence doesn’t make people go out for dinner. What does might be an unemployment rate of 3.5 per cent – ​​by far the lowest in decades.

I know what you are thinking

You’re thinking: Hey, the rise in spending could be because of higher prices. What if it’s not more restaurant meals, just bigger restaurant bills because of inflation?

It’s a really good thing to look at, which is why I checked that data as soon as I saw the spending data I showed you above.

So what does the price data show? It shows the price of restaurant meals shot up in the June quarter, by 1.4 per cent. That is high in historical terms! But not nearly enough to explain how spending rose 10 per cent in the same period.

The numbers really do reflect more plates of scrambled eggs, more Quarter Pounders, more pho, more Diet Cokes and more froyo. It’s a sign Australia has changed: We’re fearless now.

Jason Murphy is an economist | @jasemurphy. He is the author of the book Incentivology.

Read related topics:Cost Of Living

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Categories
Business

Business confidence rises with strong profits, but consumers are getting more pessimistic

There is a stark difference in mood in the economy.

Businesses are enjoying prosperous conditions with high profits and rising confidence, but consumer sentiment has fallen into deeply negative territory.

In fact, the gap between business confidence and the gloomy consumer sentiment is the largest on record.

Despite that, households are still spending money as though they’re optimistic about the future, and it’s complicating the economic outlook.

But economists say it’s likely that rising inflation and uncertainty will soon begin to weigh on spending, and when that tipping point occurs we may see a real slow-down in economic activity.

Many expect that slowdown to occur next year.

Business confidence rises, despite headwinds

The latest monthly surveys on business and consumer confidence were released on Tuesday.

The NAB monthly business survey showed Australian businesses reported very positive conditions last month.

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