There is no such thing as a certainty in footy.
Or is there?
We’ve had certainties for Friday night footy, but with eight other games remaining in Round 21, we’ve taken a close look to come up with one certainty for each team for the remaining matches.
Take a look at our certainties for the rest of the weekend’s action.
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Hawthorn v Gold Coast
Mitchell to have 25+ touches
Tom Mitchell might have taken a backseat in the Hawthorn engine room this season, but his numbers are still rock solid.
The Brownlow medallist is averaging more than 28 disposals per game in 2022 – ranked 12th in the league – and he has found the footy 30 or more times in four of his last five outings.
Mitchell loves racking them up against the Suns too, averaging 31 touches in his last five games against Gold Coast.
Let’s back him to find it at least 25 times in Launceston on the weekend.
Chol to kick multiple goals
Mabior Chol has been a revelation in his first season up north.
Coming off a career-best five goals against West Coast last week, Chol has booted 43 goals to sit 8th in the Coleman race.
The Suns have certainly got their money’s worth with the free agency signing.
The former Tiger is one of only two players to have kicked a goal in every game this season (the other is Bayley Fritsch), and the 25-year-old has also booted multiple goals in six of his last seven appearances.
Mark him down to hit the scoreboard against the Hawks on Saturday.
GWS v Essendon
Parish with 30+ touches, 4+ clearances, 2+ inside 50s
Darcy Parish is going to come back with a bang.
The Bombers star has appeared in only a single game since Round 13, putting the brakes on what had been the best year of the midfielder’s career.
Parish is known for getting his hands on the ball, sitting fourth in the AFL for disposals per game.
Pair that with an average of 6.2 clearances and 4.7 inside 50s, and you’ve got a player perfectly suited to stuffing the stat sheet.
Expect the ball-magnet to put in work as Essendon look to continue their run of good form with a win over GWS.
Coniglio 25+ disposals
It has been a strange week for the Giants.
Following the 73-point loss to Sydney, GWS coach Mark McVeigh didn’t hold back in criticizing his side, labeling the performance as an “embarrassment.”
The Giants players will now be looking to bounce back, and as co-captain Stephen Coniglio would be expected to lead the way.
The GWS gun missed last week’s brutal loss due to soreness, and his return against Essendon should provide the spark his side are sorely missing.
Coniglio is collecting a tidy 25.2 possessions a game, clearly being one of the Giants’ best all year.
The co-skipper has historically been very fond of taking on the Bombers, averaging 29.4 touches over his last 5 matchups with Essendon.
It should be business as usual for Coniglio in his return.
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Western Bulldogs v Fremantle
Naughton and Weightman to combine for 3+ goals
Aaron Naughton is the Dogs’ star in attack, returning 40 goals so far this year at an average of 2.4 per game.
Nipping at his heels is Cody Weightman who has kicked 30 goals at an average of 1.2 in 2022.
The small forward kicked two against the Dockers in their most recent fixture.
The duo should combine for at least three goals on Saturday afternoon.
Serong to have 25+ disposals
Caleb Serong is an absolute jet.
Entering his third season, Serong has already shown that he belongs at the elite level over.
He’s averaging 25.5 disposals per game in 2022 and in a huge Saturday night clash against the Dogs, he will be key to Fremantle’s hopes of getting a win.
Geelong vs St Kilda
Stengle 2+ goals
Geelong small forward Tyson Stengle has been a revelation this season, booting 37 goals from 19 games.
That averages out to be 1.9 per game, while he’s booted two goals in both of the Cats’ last two games against the Power and Bulldogs.
With a multiple-goal streak beginning to build, expect Stengle to get off the chain and bob up inside 50, particularly as St Kilda’s defensive efforts will center around stopping Jeremy Cameron and Tom Hawkins.
The livewire could just be the key for his side to achieve their 11th straight victory.
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Steele 25+ disposals
St Kilda captain Jack Steele has only had less than 25 disposals three times from 15 games this season.
His lowest tally was 22 which coincidentally came in the win against Geelong in Round 9, but the reason behind his low output was that he injured his AC joint during the clash.
Considering he almost hit the 25-touch mark with an injured shoulder that ended up sidelining him for a month, expect a fully-fit Steele to eclipse that number this time around.
The 26-year-old averages 28.5 touches a game this season and he should find himself around that figure at the Cattery on Saturday.
Port Adelaide v Richmond
Wines to finish with 20+ disposals
The reigning Brownlow Medallist continues to rack up big numbers.
Wines is averaging 27 disposals per game in 2022 and is coming off a 30-disposal performance against Collingwood last week.
The Power star collected 26 touches and five clearances against Richmond earlier this year.
Wines and co will look to put a dent in the Tigers’ final hopes.
Bolton, Riewoldt and Lynch to kick a goal each
The trio combined for eight goals in Richmond’s come-from-behind win over Brisbane last week.
Lynch booted four majors while Riewoldt and Bolton kicked two each to help the Tigers come from 42 points down to keep their final chances alive.
The latter dazzled with 12 score involvements and could’ve had a bigger day in front of goal had it not been for inaccurate kicking.
They could prove a handful for Port Adelaide’s defense on Saturday night in what is a must-win match.
North Melbourne v Sydney
Gulden to have 15+ touches, 3+ inside 50s
Errol Gulden was superb in Sydney’s big win over GWS last weekend.
He had 33 disposals along with 10 within 50s to take his season averages to 19.7 and 4.7 in those two categories.
While Gulden was quiet the last time the Swans met the Roos in Round 4, he should be primed for an improved performance at Marvel Stadium this weekend.
We’re tipping the 20-year-old to pick up at least 15 touches with at least three of those being inside 50s.
Simpkin to have 20+ touches, 3+ clearances
Jy Simpkin is fresh off 41 disposals and six clearances against Essendon last week.
The midfielder has enjoyed a fairly strong season individually, averaging 26.3 disposals and 5.2 clearances.
Simpkin has dropped below 20 touches just three times and under 25 seven times while leading the club for clearances.
Against Sydney on Sunday, Simpkin should rack up at least 20 touches and have three or more clearances.
Brisbane v Carlton
Hipwood and Daniher to combine for 5+ goals
Joe Daniher and Eric Hipwood have impressed in recent weeks, and they’ll hope to combine and down the Blues in Round 21.
After seven goals between them last week and four in Round 19, the key forward duo will reunite at the Gabba with the hope of a big win and moving back into the top four.
Taylor Walker and Darcy Fogarty were electric against Michael Voss’ side last week, while Jeremy Cameron and Tom Hawkins were dominant two weeks before at the MCG.
Daniher and Hipwood are heating up at the right time of the season, and the oe of the league’s most attacking game styles should help feed them.
Walsh to amass 30+ touches
Brisbane has a hardened on-ball unit, but not many can match it with Sam Walsh.
That’s what Michael Voss will be hoping for and what should unfold on Sunday afternoon, with the 22-year-old one of the best inside/outside midfielders in the competition.
He’s dipped under 30 disposals once in the last seven weeks and gathered 33 against the Lions last year when Carlton was a bigger outsider than they are in Round 21.
Whether he can arise his side over the line is yet to be seen, but he’ll be everywhere on the Gabba and should amass 30 touches.
West Coast v Adelaide
Kennedy boots 3 goals
In his final game, expect Josh Kennedy to go out with a bang.
His teammates will be looking for him and you can be sure he won’t be venturing too far from goal.
Kennedy has hit the scoreboard consistently all throughout his career and remains an elite goal kicker even in his twilight.
The full forward is absolutely going to kick at least three goals against Adelaide.
Walker and Fogarty combine for 4 goals
Josh Kennedy will dominate up one end and you can expect Taylor Walker to hit the scoreboard up the other end.
Walker will have the tough matchup on Tom Barrass, but should still hit the scoreboard.
Darcy Fogarty should be able to get off the chain against lesser opponents and hit the scoreboard himself.
Expect the pair to do some damage against the Eagles.
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