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Market outlook ‘too volatile’ to chase stock, bond rallies, asset manager says

Investors should eschew chasing recent rallies in stocks and bonds given the current economic uncertainty, according to the chief investment officer of Swiss asset manager Prime Partners.

Francois Savary said it was enormously difficult to have clear economic visibility due to the particulars of the current investment cycle, such as the Covid-19 recovery and the Ukraine war.

“One of the key factors that supported the rally, which was a strong bond market during the month of July, has disappeared to a certain extent,” he told CNBC’s “Street Signs Europe” on Monday.

Additionally, while the second-quarter earnings season has been robust so far, a key issue looming is how many analysts will review their third-quarter earnings forecasts. “So we consider that the two elements that can support a further rally in the equity market are not clearly there,” Savary said.

As such, he said investors should “absolutely not” be chasing the rally in equities that has been underway since mid-July. The S&P 500 is up almost 13% from its July lows, closing at 4,140 on Monday, but remains down since the start of the year.

On bonds, Savary said, “we all know it’s very difficult to make money on the bonds side. I would not chase the bond rally that we experienced over the last two months.”

Corporate, government and high-yield bond funds saw sizeable inflows last month. The US 10 Year Treasury yield — which moves inversely prices — has slipped to trade around 2.76% on Tuesday after topping 3.48% in mid-June.

Investors in global markets are navigating a whirlwind of inflationary pressures, recession risks and central bank tightening cycles, with even juggernauts such as Berkshire Hathaway and SoftBank posting investment losses in the June quarter.

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“It’s a very difficult market environment,” Savary told CNBC. “You need to have some hedge funds [and] some kind of decorrelating strategy that are in your portfolio.”

Keeping some investment in stocks will provide partial protection from inflation, he said, however investors will need to be tactical and observe the latest economic figures.

Meanwhile cash, Savary said, is useful for providing flexibility.

“It’s interesting to have some cash to check because everything is possible in this kind of environment. We could have a recession, but you could also get a slow but satisfactory rate of growth in the coming 12 months,” he said.

For now, Savary said the market has priced in a recession. “But the numbers are not telling you that there is a recession, so we need to be nimble and to check what is happening week-by-week and month-by-month, and we should have more visibility by the early fall, in the US in particular.”

US gross domestic product fell for the first two quarters of the year, meeting a common definition of a recession, although the NBER defines it differently and the White House insists the US is not currently in recession.

Investors will be looking to US inflation data out Wednesday for further clues on the state of the world’s largest economy. It comes after the jobs report for last month showed unexpected strength and increased expectations of a 75 basis points rate hike in September.

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Albuquerque police are trying to piece together what led up to the killings of 4 Muslim men as anxiety spreads within the community

While police have not provided details on exactly how the killings unfolded, they have said three of the victims — Muhammad Afzaal Hussain, 27, Aftab Hussein, 41, and Mohammad Ahmadi, 62 — were “ambushed with no warning, fired on and killed.”

Then, after community members marked a somber Friday prayer followed by a funeral for two of the victims, a fourth man — 25-year-old Naeem Hussain — was found dead, hours after attending the service. He became the third Muslim man killed in the city within two weeks and the fourth since November.

While police have not definitively said all four attacks are connected, they have said they are looking into whether that is the case. With no one in custody, police have not commented on any possible motive or whether any of the shootings are being investigated as hate crimes.

However, it is “deeply troubling” that the victims were Muslim and of similar descent, Kyle Hartsock, deputy commander of the city police department’s criminal investigations division, has said.

The vehicle of interest in the recent killings of four Muslim men in Albuquerque, New Mexico.

Police have not come out with any descriptions of a suspect or suspects in the killings. They have, however, said they are seeking “a vehicle of interest,” which may be connected to the four killings. The vehicle is a dark silver sedan that police say may be a Volkswagen Jetta.

But it remains unclear whom the car belongs to, or where it was in the photos released by the department. Police said the vehicle “is suspected as being used as a conveyance in recent homicides of 4 Muslim men.”

“Everyone believes that that vehicle is very key to what happened in at least two of the shootings,” Maj. Timothy Keller told CNN on Monday. “We also have shell casings that we’re able to tie together through the national database. So that is giving us some confidence. But we may have a long way to go.”

A $20,000 reward is being offered for information leading to an arrest or arrests in the killings. Authorities have also set up an online portal for residents to upload videos and images that could help investigators.

The ambush-style killings

The three most recent killings claimed the lives of men from Pakistan, and the spate of shootings directed investigators’ attention to an unsolved killing of an Afghan man reported in 2021.

The latest killing happened just before midnight on August 5 in the area of ​​Truman Street and Grand Avenue. Police responded to reports of a shooting and found Naeem Hussain dead from a gunshot wound.

He had attended the funeral of two other victims that same day and expressed concern about the shootings, according to a spokesman with a mosque in Albuquerque.

On August 1, officers found Muhammad Afzaal Hussain on a sidewalk around 9:19 pm in the area of ​​Cornell Street and Lead Avenue. He had been shot and died as a result of his wounds, police said.

On July 26, officers found Aftab Hussein with apparent gunshot wounds in the 400 block of Rhode Island at 10:30 pm He also died as a result of his wounds, according to police.

The August 1 and July 26 shootings got police looking into whether they may be connected to another killing that happened November 7. That day, officers found an Afghan man, Mohammad Ahmadi, with a gunshot wound in the parking lot behind the business he ran with his brother.

4 Muslim men were killed in Albuquerque.  Here's what we know about them

“Our homicide detectives and our investigators currently believe there is a strong possibility that the same individual committed all three of these crimes,” Hartsock said last week, referring to the shootings of Muhammad Afzaal Hussain, Aftab Hussein and Mohammad Ahmadi. “While we won’t go into why we think that, there’s one strong commonality in all of our victims — their race and religion.

“We are taking this very serious and we want the public’s help in identifying this cowardly individual who in all three cases ambushed their victims with no warning, fired shots and killed them,” Hartsock added.

Albuquerque’s Muslim community living in fear

The killings have put the city’s Muslim community on edge, with some too afraid to go to the mosque, shop for food or sit outside, according to Ahmad Assed, president of the Islamic Center of New Mexico.

Assed said he too is now among the many Muslims in New Mexico grappling with fear every day.

3 Muslim men in Albuquerque were murdered.  Police are investigating possible ties to same killer

“I get in the car, and I’m watching every which way possible. I’m watching my side mirror. I’m looking in the back. I’m looking out for any sign of anything out of the ordinary,” he said.

The city is now increasing police presence at mosques, Muslim-affiliated schools and the University of New Mexico. Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham also announced sending additional state police to Albuquerque.

“We’ve got extra police patrols at every mosque during prayer time. We’re delivering meals to folks afraid to come out of their homes. We’re providing trauma services for folks also in their home or at their mosque for what they’ you’re going through,” Keller said. “Right now these are very, very trying times for this community and our city.”

Who the victims were

Naeem Hussain migrated as a refugee from Pakistan in 2016 — fleeing persecution as a Shia Muslim — and had just become a US citizen last month, according to his brother-in-law, Ehsan Shahalami.

The young man, who owned a trucking business, was described as a kind, generous and hardworking person.

Muhammad Afzaal Hussain worked on the planning team for the city of Española. He had studied law and human resource management at the University of Punjab in Pakistan before receiving both master’s and bachelor degrees in community and regional planning from the University of New Mexico, according to a news release from the mayor.

“Muhammad was soft-spoken and kind, and quick to laugh,” Spanish Major John Ramon Vigil said. “He was well-respected and well-liked by his coworkers and members of the community.”

Few details have been released about the two other victims.

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Atlanta park: Shooting during ball game leaves 2 dead and 4 wounded, including 6-year-old

The violence began during a baseball or softball game at Dunbar Recreational Center inside Rosa L. Burney Park in southwest Atlanta around 7 pm Sunday, Deputy Chief Charles Hampton said. The game was interrupted by an argument that escalated to an exchange of gunfire, and six people were shot, he said.

A man in his 30s and an adult woman were shot and killed, while a 6-year-old was struck and transported to Children’s Egleston Hospital in critical condition, Hampton said. The other four victims were in stable condition, he said.

Police released images of the suspect and are asking the public to help identify them by contacting the Atlanta Police Department’s homicide unit or submitting a tip to Crime Stoppers for a potential reward of up to $2,000.
The Atlanta police department released these photos of the suspect.

Police are still investigating what happened and what relationship, if any, the six victims had to each other, Hampton said.

“As we’ve said countless times, we’re just asking the citizens just to find a way to resolve conflict without weapons. We’re just asking people to step away, we’re asking people just to let bygones be bygones,” Hampton said.

“Any time that we have any tragedy like this — any death is a tragedy — then as we have kids that are also involved… This is not a place for gunplay. So, we’re just asking everyone to leave the guns at home.”

The shooting represents the 18th mass shooting in Georgia this year, according to the Gun Violence Archive, which defines a mass shooting as any incident in which four or more people are shot, excluding the gunman.
As of July 30, there have been 88 homicides in Atlanta this year, a 9% increase from the same point last year, according to Atlanta Police data. Aggravated assaults, a category that includes non-fatal shootings, are also up 4% this year compared to this point last year, the data shows.

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Taiwanese foreign minister says China drills game-plan for invasion

Taiwan Foreign Minister Joseph Wu.

Sam Yeh | AFP | Getty Images

Taiwan’s foreign minister said on Tuesday that China was using the military drills it launched in protest against US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit as a game-plan to prepare for an invasion of the
self-ruled island.

Joseph Wu, speaking at a press conference in Taipei, offered no timetable for a possible invasion of Taiwan, which is claimed by China as its own.

He said Taiwan would not be intimidated even as the drills continued with China often breaching the unofficial median line down the Taiwan Strait.

“China has used the drills in its military play-book to prepare for the invasion of Taiwan,” Wu said.

“It is conducting large-scale military exercises and missile launches, as well as cyberattacks, disinformation, and economic coercion, in an attempt to weaken public morale in Taiwan.

“After the drills conclude, China may try to routinize its action in an attempt to wreck the long-term status quo across the Taiwan Strait,” Wu said.

Such moves threatened regional security and provided “a clear image of China’s geostrategic ambitions beyond Taiwan”, Wu said, urging greater international support to stop China effectively controlling the strait.

A Pentagon official said on Monday that Washington was sticking to its assessment that China would not try to invade Taiwan for the next two years.

Wu spoke as military tensions simmer after the scheduled end on Sunday of four days of the largest-ever Chinese exercises surrounding the island – drills that included ballistic missile launches and simulated sea and air attacks in the skies and seas surrounding Taiwan.

China’s Eastern Theater Command announced on Monday that it would conduct fresh joint drills focusing on anti-submarine and sea assault operations – confirming the fears of some security analysts and diplomats that Beijing would keep up the pressure on Taiwan’s defences.

On Tuesday, the command said it continued to hold military drills and exercises in the seas and airspace around Taiwan, with a focus on blockades and resupply logistics.

A person familiar with security planning in the areas around Taiwan described to Reuters on Tuesday a continuing “standoff” around the median line involving about 10 warships each from China and Taiwan.

“China continued to try to press in to the median line,” the person said.

“Taiwan forces there have been trying to keep the international waterways open.”

Taiwan’s Defense Ministry said on Tuesday that China’s continued military exercises “highlight that its threat of force has not decreased.”

As Pelosi left the region last Friday, China also ditched some lines of communication with the United States, including theater level military talks and discussions on climate change.

Taiwan started its own long-scheduled drills on Tuesday, firing howitzer artillery out to sea in the southern county of Pingtung, attracting a small crowd of curious onlookers to a nearby beach.

US President Joe Biden, in his first public comments on the issue since Pelosi’s visit, said on Monday he was concerned about China’s actions in the region but he was not worried about Taiwan.

“I’m concerned they are moving as much as they are,” Biden told reporters in Delaware, referring to China. “But I don’t think they’re going to do anything more than they are.”

Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl also said the US military would continue to carry out voyages through the Taiwan Strait in the coming weeks.

China has never ruled out taking Taiwan by force and on Monday Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin said that China was conducting normal military exercises “in our waters” in an open, transparent and professional way, adding Taiwan was part of China.

Taiwan rejects China’s sovereignty claims, saying only the Taiwanese people can decide the island’s future.

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Trump’s 108-minute CPAC speech is branded ‘unapologetic fascism’ with ‘blood-and-soil rhetoric’

Donald Trump has been accused of spewing “unapologetic fascism” and “blood-and-soil rhetoric” in his rambling speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Texas over the weekend.

The former president pushed the notion from the stage in Dallas on Saturday that the US has been decimated since he left the White House in January of last year. He claimed that crime is out of control and that unemployment was skyrocketing – despite official figures showing that it’s at its lowest level in half a century.

His dark remarks drew outcry on social media, with Texas Monthly journalist Michael Hardy accusing him of inciting violence.

Mr Trump began his 108-minute address at the conclusion by greeting “proud patriots” in the audience after taking the stage to the tune of “God Bless the USA”.

Joined by former White House doctor and current Texas GOP Congressman Ronnie Jackson, Mr Trump noted that he “was an admiral, a doctor, and now he’s a congressman”.

He added that he had asked what Dr Jackson preferred. “He sort of indicated doctor, because he loved to look at my body. It was so strong and powerful,” Mr Trump said.

“This is no time for complacency. We have to seize this opportunity to deal with the radical left socialist lunatic fascists,” he said. “We have to hit them very, very hard. It has to be a crippling defeat.”

Former President Donald Trump delivers the final remarks during the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) at the Hilton Anatole in Dallas, on Saturday, Aug. 6, 2022

(AP)

He criticized moderate Democratic Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema for supporting the Inflation Reduction Act. The legislation cleared a procedural vote while Mr Trump was speaking on Saturday, following a tie-breaking vote from Vice President Kamala Harris. The bill later passed the Senate on Sunday.

Mr Trump went on to criticize Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, saying that he’s “the most unpopular politician in the country, even more so than crazy Nancy Pelosi, and something has to be done”.

I have claimed that President Joe Biden “surrendered our strength and our everything” when withdrawing US troops from Afghanistan, adding that “they surrendered our dignity”.

Texas Monthly senior editor Mr Hardy tweeted that Mr Trump’s language about the withdrawal from Afghanistan echoed “the Nazi ‘stab in the back theory’ of losing WWI”.

“The streets of our Democrat-run cities are drenched in the blood of innocent victims,” Mr Trump went on to claim. “Bullets are killing little beautiful little children who never had a chance. Carjackers lay in wait like predators.”

“This is some literal blood-and-soil rhetoric,” Mr Hardy said, referring to the Nazi slogan expressing the idea that “ethnic identity is based on only blood descent and the territory in which an individual lives”, according to CNN.

“We need the courage to say what needs to be said and do what needs to be done,” Mr Trump added.

“This is a rallying cry for street violence and worse,” Mr Hardy tweeted.

Mr Trump claimed that “many people say” that what the January 6 rioters have been charged with “aren’t crimes”.

“The only countries that don’t have a drug problem are the ones that institute the death penalty for drug crimes,” the former president added.

He also called President Xi Jinping of China a “strong man”.

“Before the plague came in, I had a great relationship with President Xi. Strong man. He’s a great guy in many respects,” he said.

“The next president should use every power at his disposal to restore order” in Chicago, Mr Trump said.

“Even if that includes sending in National Guard,” he added.

Mr Trump said that he “wanted to send in the Guards, I wanted to send in the troops” in areas such as Portland and Minneapolis.

“Sometimes I did, sometimes I didn’t,” he said, adding that he wants troops sent to San Francisco, New York, and Chicago – large cities run by Democrats.

After calling for the relocation of the homeless from large cities, calling migrants crossing the southern border an “invasion”, and listing instances of undocumented migrants committing murder, Mr Hardy tweeted that “Trump’s rhetoric is significantly more extreme than even a few years ago. this might be [the] most frightening speech I’ve ever heard. Full-on, unapologetic fascism”.

“Trump has either been reading Mein Kampf or having someone read it to him,” Mr Hardy added.

He went on to say that “this is some seriously bloodthirsty s**t”.

Mr Hardy tweeted that Mr Trump called for “new legislation allowing [the] president to remove any government employee they deem corrupt. This is a call for a total purge of government”.

Tim Miller, the communications director for the 2016 Jeb Bush campaign and a former RNC staffer, tweeted that “I know everyone in the DC GOP is just hoping Trump will die but it’s impossible to watch this CPAC speech and not come to the conclusion that he’s going to run and be very hard to beat in a primary. Sorry to be the bearer of bad weekend news.”

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Owner of conservative apparel brand fined $200,000 for falsely claiming products are made in the USA

The owner of a conservative apparel company was fined more than $200,000 by the Federal Trade Commission for replacing “made in China” tags with “made in the USA” tags on clothing.

The FTC acted against Lions Not Sheep Products LLC owner Sean Whalen after he posted a video on social media titled “MADE IN AMERICA!” in which he said “he could conceal the fact that his shirts are made in China by ripping out the original tags and replacing them with tags stating that the merchandise was made in the United States,” the FTC said in a statement.

Whalen and Lions Not Sheep swapped the tags on shirts from May 10 to Oct. 21, 2021, according to the FTC.

Lions Not Sheep says on its website that it sources its “products and ‘blank’ garments from multiple domestic and international vendors and suppliers.”

Image: Lions Not Sheep hat
Leah Hoopes wears a “Lions Not Sheep” hat as she addresses the crowd at the Rod of Iron Freedom Festival in Stroudsburg, Pa., on Oct. 15.
Hannah Phillips / USA Today Network

“In our effort to keep as many jobs as possible inside the USA, our blank garments/items that are purchased internationally are shipped to the USA to be printed, embroidered, laser engraved, tagged, and bagged all inside the USA,” it says on the website. “This process is commonly known as ‘white-labeling.'”

In a post on the company’s Instagram account in May responding to the FTC’s investigation, Whalen said he is proud “to have built a company from a single tee shirt on blood sweat and tears and who employs dozens of hard working Americans.”

“Lots of folks who haven’t done much always have plenty to say, but we at LNS are head down working hard to continue to grow and support our first responders, military, and all patriots across the globe and build a bad ass company, “He said in the statement. “Our T-Shirts are Printed in the USA! Our hats are embroidered in the USA! GOD BLESS AMERICA!”

Whalen, who is also an author and a life coach, told NBC News that he would publish another statement about the FTC’s decision Monday.

As part of the order, Whalen will be fined $211,335 and the company must “stop making bogus Made in USA claims” and “come clean about foreign production.”

“Under the order, Whalen and Lions Not Sheep must stop claiming that products are made in the United States unless they can show that the product’s final assembly or processing — and all significant processing — takes place here and that all or virtually all ingredients or components of the product are made and sourced here,” the FTC said in a statement.

Lions Not Sheep features products on its website like shirts that say “Let’s Go Brandon,” which is code for insulting President Joe Biden, according to The Associated Press. It also features hats and shirts with the hashtag “#FJB” and the description “If you know, you know. #FJB.”

Another hat featured on the website bears the Revolutionary War slogan “Don’t tread on me,” which was featured on flags flown by the mob that violently overran the US Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.

The company’s about section on its Facebook page tells readers: “You have two choices. To LEAD or to be LED. We are a generation of LEADERS. We are a generation of LIONS.”

The company is based in Salt Lake City.

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Michigan AG probe alleges GOP opponent involved in unauthorized voting machine access

WASHINGTON — Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel’s office has requested the appointment of a special prosecutor to consider criminal charges against nine people it alleges were involved in a conspiracy to improperly obtain access to voting machines used in the 2020 election — including the presumptive GOP nominee for attorney general set to challenge Nessel in the November election.

In a petition filed Friday, Nessel’s office asked the state’s Prosecuting Attorneys Coordinating Council for the appointment of a special prosecuting attorney in part to avoid a conflict of interest given that allegedly “one of the prime instigators of the conspiracy” is now Trump-backed Republican candidate Matthew DePerno.

DePerno allegedly “orchestrated a coordinated plan” with other individuals, including state Rep. Daire Rendon and Barry County Sheriff Dar Leaf, to gain access to voting machines that had been used in several Michigan counties in the 2020 election.

Five voting tabulators were taken to hotels or Airbnbs, where several people “broke into the tabulators and performed ‘tests’ on the equipment,” the petition alleges. “It was determined during the investigation that DePerno was present at a hotel room during such ‘testing.'”

The alleged conspiracy also involved the “printing of fake ballots to be run through the tabulators” and recruitment of “volunteers,” the petition added.

DePerno’s campaign manager, Tyson Shepard, said in a statement Sunday that Nessel “has a history of targeting and persecuting her political enemies” and alleged that her “actions are unethical and will further demonstrate to the voters that she is unfit for office.” The statement, however, did not address whether DePerno participated in the alleged plot to gain unauthorized access to the machines.

In a radio interview with Michael Patrick Shiels on “Michigan’s Big Show,” DePerno said Monday that “we did nothing illegal” and that Nessel is merely trying to attack a political opponent by “weaponizing her office.”

“It’s all nonsense. It’ll all be proven false,” DePerno said, adding that he had “nothing to do with hotel rooms or any Airbnbs.”

Leaf and Rendon did not immediately return requests for comment.

Image: Dana Nessel
Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel addresses the media during a news conference in Lansing, Mich., on March 5, 2020.David Eggert / AP file

On Friday, Nessel’s office also sent a letter to Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson notifying her about the investigation, which was conducted in coordination with the state police. The probe “uncovered that, after the 2020 election, a group of individuals gained unauthorized access and compromised tabulators” from several county clerks, the letter said.

The letter said a state representative, whose name it didn’t, told some of these clerks that the representative was looking into election fraud and wanted them to turn their vote tabulators over to investigators. An individual identified as Person 1 in the letter, who said it was represented as “acting on behalf of the Sheriff’s Department,” went to various county clerks’ offices in March 2021 to obtain the voting machines as well as a laptop used as an electronic chicken book.

Person 1 “assured each separate clerk that they would be returned in just a few days,” but the machines were not returned until early April in some cases, and June and September in others, the letter said.

The attorney general’s office said it determined that the voting machines were “accessed improperly and damaged,” and they were decommissioned before this year’s primary election. The office also noted that in February 2021, a month before the alleged conspiracy unfolded, the Bureau of Elections sent out a notice that “only election officials, licensed vendors, or accredited voting system test laboratories should be granted access to voting equipment.”

“Election clerks should be notified that they should always request to see identification from any individual purporting to be a law enforcement officer and seeking to inspect or seize election equipment,” the attorney general’s office wrote. “Further, even law enforcement officers should have a search warrant to inspect or seize equipment.”

The office also noted that it’s a felony punishable by five years in prison for a person to take undue possession of a voting machine used in an election.

benson tweeted Sunday that there “must be consequences for those who break the law to undermine our elections & further political goals.”

“The election clerks of this state do their jobs with professionalism and integrity, and we will continue to ensure they are equipped with a full understanding of the legal protections in place to block bad actors from pressing them to gain access to secure election systems,” she wrote.

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‘Staggering’ number couldn’t get care during pandemic, poll finds : Shots

Tomeka Kimbrough-Hilson was diagnosed with uterine fibroids in 2006 and underwent surgery to remove a non-cancerous mass. When she started experiencing symptoms again in 2020, she was unable to get an appointment with a gynecologist. Her experience with her was not uncommon, according to a new poll by NPR, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health.

Nicole Buchanan for NPR


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Nicole Buchanan for NPR


Tomeka Kimbrough-Hilson was diagnosed with uterine fibroids in 2006 and underwent surgery to remove a non-cancerous mass. When she started experiencing symptoms again in 2020, she was unable to get an appointment with a gynecologist. Her experience with her was not uncommon, according to a new poll by NPR, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health.

Nicole Buchanan for NPR

When the pandemic started, Tomeka Kimbrough-Hilson knew she had a small growth inside her uterus. She was first diagnosed with uterine fibroids back in 2006 and had been able to have the non-cancerous mass removed through outpatient laser surgery. Over the years, she’d also been able to manage her symptoms with medication and changes in her lifestyle.

But when those symptoms – a bloated belly, irregular periods, nausea – returned in 2020, Kimbrough-Hilson was unable to get an appointment with a specialist.

“March 27th came and everything got shut down,” says Kimbrough-Hilson, 47, of Stone Mountain, Georgia. “I wasn’t at the tier of care that needed [immediate attention]because of all the precautions that had to be taken.”

But even after the lockdown in spring of 2020 was lifted, Kimbrough-Hilson, a mother of five who works in the health insurance industry, was unable to see a gynecologist.

She left message after message with providers. But her calls from her went unreturned, or providers were booked for months at end. “I couldn’t get the appointments,” she says. “I couldn’t follow up.”

These days, her belly is swollen, and she says she often feels fatigued and nauseous: “It makes me want to throw up a lot.”

She also struggled to get appointments for other members of her family. Her 14-year-old daughter underwent brain surgery before the pandemic, but then she could n’t get follow-up appointments until recently.

Kimbrough-Hilson’s family’s experience isn’t uncommon, according to a new poll by NPR, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health.

Among households that had a serious illness in the past year, one in five respondents said they had trouble accessing care during the pandemic.

That’s a “staggering” number of people unable to access care, says Mary Findling, the assistant director of the Harvard Opinion Research Program. “From a health and a good care standpoint, that’s just too high.”

Other recent studies have found significant delays in cancer screenings, and disruptions in routine diabetes, pediatric and mental health care. While it’s still early to know the long-term impacts on people’s health, researchers and physicians are concerned, especially as the disruptions continue with the country’s health care system struggling to bounce back from the pandemic.

The new poll also found that disruptions in care hit some racial and ethnic groups harder. Among households where anyone had been seriously ill in the past year, 35% of American Indian and Alaska Native households and 24% of Black households had trouble accessing care for serious illness, compared with only 18% of White households.

Among Black respondents who had seen a provider in the past year, 15% said they were disrespected, turned away, unfairly treated, or received poor treatment because of their race and ethnicity, compared with only 3% of White respondents who said the same.

“What’s really sad is the racial gaps in health care between Black and White Americans has remained,” says Findling. “And looking across a broad range of measures, it’s better to be a White patient than a Black patient in America today. And when you just stop and think about that, that’s horrible.”

Health insurance wasn’t a barrier to access

The vast majority of people – across racial and ethnic groups – who experienced delays in care reported having health insurance.

“One thing it tells us is that just the provision of more health care insurance is not going to plug some of these gaps and holes that we’re seeing in terms of individuals getting more care,” says Loren Saulsberry, a health policy researcher at the University of Chicago, who worked closely with Finding on the poll.

“There are broader issues at play here,” says Findling, like the historic workforce shortages among health systems. “The pandemic continues and it’s wreaking havoc on everyone.”

Saulsberry, who studies health disparities in vulnerable populations, says that the pandemic has exacerbated those disparities because of a range of barriers, including a person’s zip code.

For example, the state of Georgia, where Kimbrough-Hilson lives, has had one of the lowest numbers of OB-GYNs in the country for years. Now, she’s having a harder time getting an appointment with one than ever before.

“I’ve been able to get my teeth done, my eyes checked,” she says. “But I can’t get to women’s health.”

She has a referral from her primary care provider, she says, but it’s for a practice “30 to 40 miles away.”

Health systems too overwhelmed for routine care

While the pandemic exacerbated disparities in care, it also overwhelmed the health care system, causing delays and disruptions across the board, says Cassie Sauer, CEO of the Washington State Hospital Association.

And it’s also taken a huge financial toll, says Dr. Arif Kamal, chief patient officer at the American Cancer Society. “Some of that is related to actually taking care of patients who are very complex, who have very serious illnesses due to COVID-19,” he says. “But also during that time there was also loss of revenue because other activities had to be stopped, for example, elective surgeries.”

As a result, preventive services and early detection activities – not the “highest margin activities” for health systems – have taken a back seat, he adds.

“Over the last two years we estimate about 6 million women, for example, have missed routine cancer screening,” says Kamal. That includes missed mammograms for breast cancer detection, and Pap smears to check for cervical cancer.

Kamal is concerned that in a year or two, providers will start to detect cancers at later stages because of missed screenings, which makes them harder to treat or cure.

In the meantime, health systems are continuing to feel the repercussions of the pandemic, causing continuing delays in what was once routine care.

Sauer has experienced this at work and in his personal life.

“In my own family, we have struggled to get access to health care for my kids and my parents,” says Sauer.

Her 80-year-old father, who has Parkinson’s disease, had a fall over the winter holidays and was hospitalized. “I was with him, caring for him in the hospital. My mom had COVID at the time, so she wasn’t able to be there,” she says. “And I couldn’t figure out how to get him out of the hospital.”

He needed to go to a skilled nursing facility, but she couldn’t get him into one. “I found two nursing homes that seemed like good fits,” says Sauer. “And they both shut down because they had COVID outbreaks the same day.”

This is still one of the biggest problems that the state’s hospitals are facing right now, she adds. “We can’t get people out of the hospitals right now. There’s no back door, but the front door is wide open to the emergency room.”

There are patients who spend as many as 90 days in a hospital, she says, when the average hospital stay is three days. “So they’ve taken the space of 30 patients who needed care.”

This is why, more than two years into the pandemic, she says, people are still unable to schedule regular procedures, everything from knee and heart valve replacements, to cancer treatments.

These procedures may be considered “elective,” but postponing them can have major repercussions on a patient’s health and quality of life, she adds.

“You have a chance of falling, you are probably going to gain weight,” says Sauer. “You’re going to lose flexibility. You know, all those things contribute to a potential decline, cardiac issues, respiratory issues.” Which can in turn also increase someone’s risk of serious illness from COVID.

“I think that the toll of this delayed care is tremendous,” she says.

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PM Update: Scattered downpours into evening, with a hot and humid repeat Tuesday

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* flash flood warning for northwestern Prince George’s County until 7 pm *

5:10 pm — High water rescues reported in central Prince George’s County after 3 inches of rain in just over an hour

A slow-moving thunderstorm with torrential rain plowed through north central Prince George’s County and unloaded over 3 inches of rain just north of Landover, prompting a flash flood warning. The National Weather Service reported that Prince George’s County Fire and Rescue was deploying boats to conduct water rescues along MD-201 Kenilworth Avenue between MD-450 Annapolis Road and MD-410 Riverdale Road. “Seven vehicles were stranded,” the Weather Service wrote. “Police have closed the road.”

The responsible thunderstorm has moved south and southeast of the flash flood warning zone and has weakened somewhat.

Still, stay weather-aware into this evening as, with the air being so humid, widely scattered storms could continue to unleash heavy rain and cause a few localized flooding issues.

We picked up yet another 90-degree day, and high humidity made it feel even hotter. Heat indexes were around 100 this afternoon. Near instant sweat, then lots more to follow. The high temperatures have mixed with high humidity to cause a few intense showers and storms in the area this afternoon. They’ll wane with sunset. We do it all again Tuesday.

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Through Tonight: A shower or storm will plague a few spots into the evening. Many pop up and die off quickly but some could dump a few inches fast, causing some isolated flooding. This activity should mainly wane by sunset. With humidity holding the warmth in, lows are far from low. They end up mainly in a mid-70s to near 80 range.

View the current weather at The Washington Post.

Tomorrow (Tuesday): It will be something of a repeat of today, but perhaps a somewhat hotter version. Partial sunshine and murky air will lead to billowing clouds producing showers and storms in the afternoon. A few storms could be strong to severe, with the main threat outside being lightning, heavy rain and isolated damaging wind. Before any rain, temperatures will head for the low and mid-90s. Heat index values ​​will be near or above 100 at peak.

See Jason Samenow’s forecast through the weekend. And if you haven’t already, join us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter and Instagram. For related traffic news, check out Gridlock.

Pollen update: Mold spores are low/moderate, as is weed and grass pollen. Tree pollen is low.

90-degree days: Over the past 30 days, there have been 17 days at or above 90, compared to about 15 normally. While the District continues to run somewhat below average to date, we’re closing in with 27 through today. Per the 1991-2010 averages used by the Weather Service, the city is running two behind the typical 29 to date.

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Mother mourns loss of son in CTA Red Line shooting

CHICAGO — “He used to always tell me that he might get into it with somebody on the train or something like that,” said the mother of the latest murder victim on the CTA Red Line.

“And I would always tell him, be safe.”

That’s what Kina Moon said about her son, 29-year-old Diunte Moon, who was riding the Red Line home early Saturday morning after a shift working extra hours as a security guard at Millennium Park.

Moon was “trying to pay bills and support his [7-year-old] daughter” by working more often at his job, according to his mother.

At around 2 am near the 79th Street station, two individuals approached Moon on the train and shot him several times in the chest and abdomen.

Moon was taken to the University of Chicago Medical Center shortly thereafter, where he was pronounced dead.

Police released this video of the two suspects they’re looking to identify in his murder.

As Moon talked to WGN News about her loss—according to police—another shooting happened just before 4:30 pm Monday near the same Red Line stop.

Police said two males pulled handguns on one another outside of the 79th Street station and opened fire on each other. One of the males, a 17-year-old, was hit in the upper body and taken to the University of Chicago Medical Center in critical condition.

In a press conference that happened before the second shooting, Chicago Police Superintendent David Brown announced, in addition to the CTA’s 250 unarmed guards, the authority is also bringing back K9 units.

Brown did not elaborate on how many Chicago police officers were added to patrol the CTA, but the superintendent said that police are considering reassigning administrative officers on desk duty to work the trains.

Police currently do not have anyone in custody in connection to either of the two Red Line shootings. Area Two detectives continue to investigate.