8/13/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Caulfield, PB Lawrence Stakes day

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Today’s Best BetToday’s Best Long Shot

Spring is in the air this Saturday at Caulfield, where it is PB Lawrence Stakes Day, with the 1400m feature a lead up towards the Memsie Stakes in two weeks time. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out nine meters for the entire circuit.

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PB Lawrence Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the PB Lawrence Stakes

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3MidnightBlue (BetNow: $10.00 TOP ODDS) is a fascinating runner. Former WA galloper that makes his Victorian debut for the Danny O’Brien camp. He hasn’t raced since New Years Day when a strong winner of the Perth Cup. I’ve been surprised by how well he has jumped out leading in, the latest being a win at Werribee, so watch the market.

danger

6 Chief Altony (BetNow: $2.40 TOP ODDS) has been up a while but is holding his form really well. He ran behind Lackeen a fortnight back at The Valley and was never a factor to beat the Godolphin horse, with that galloper stealing a march on the field, including Chief Altony. He likes Caulfield and hopefully he can settle closer in the run.

long shot

5 Thoughts Of That (BetNow: $4.80 TOP ODDS) is a watch for me. He’s talented when right, but he also can be quite hit and miss. He hasn’t raced since late May when down the track behind Mankayan but with the break, he’s had a jumpout and a hurdle trial, so whether that was to sharpen him up, or they have eyes on a maiden hurdle and this is a prep run, not sure. But he’s capable of winning this.

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11 Pitchhanun (BetNow: $8.50 TOP ODDS) is knocking on the door to win. Track was too wet for her fresh at Sandown behind Cyclone Sally. Ella then she went to Flemington three weeks ago where she was unlucky not to win, getting held up at a vital stage before getting clear and driving late to just miss. Hard fit now, she’s hard to beat.

danger

8 Unusual Culture (BetNow: $6.50 TOP ODDS) is a talented mare I feel for the Maher/Eustace camp. Just wish they’d get her to Flemington because she does look like a big track horse. Both Australian runs have come here, and each time she has crabbed around the turn, losing momentum then balancing up late. She can win, but backing her to do it is another thing.

long shot

9 Free Flying Star (BetNow: $17.00 TOP ODDS) has been up a while but is holding her form quite nicely. Last few runs have come at Sandown, where she has been quite consistent and thereabouts every time, last start seeing her finish third to Free To Move. Harder here, but in form, hard fit, she commands respect.

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4 She’s All Class (BetNow: $2.60 TOP ODDS) should take beating for the Maher/Eustace camp. First run for the stable came at Caulfield several weeks ago when sitting off the speed before being presented wider and finishing off strongly when second to Chain Of Lightning in a good effort and strong return. Fitter, with class on her side of her, she’ll take beating against this lot.

danger

7 Throntari (BetNow: $6.00 TOP ODDS) have found winning form…can she hold it? Freshened up from 1400m to 1200m a few weeks back at Caulfield and the end result was a dominant win in testing conditions, helped by an absolute peach from Craig Williams, who is the form rider in Victoria at the moment. Back in winning form, she commands respect.

long shot

5Little Stevie (BetNow: $11.00 TOP ODDS) has been a ripping mare pretty much throughout her career but this time in she has established herself as a Saturday class horse. She got a peach from Cartwright to win several weeks ago at Caulfield, sitting off the speed before being presented clear air and away she went for a strong performance. Hard to knock how genuine she is.

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I think 5 I Am Bene (BetNow: $3.80 TOP ODDS) is the best on the card. Andrew Clarken trained mare from SA that I reckon is using this run as a tune up and a look at Caulfield in readiness for the Cockram. She summarized in the Lightning at Morphettville and was very good in the worst ground behind a star in Extremely Lucky. That form is A1 for this and fitter, up to 1200m, I’m keen on her.

danger

1 Home Rules (BetNow: $4.40 TOP ODDS) can be hit and miss, but he is Saturday class when he’s on, as seen when an impressive winner at The Valley two weeks ago. He was given a lovely ride from Lane, sitting near the speed before being clicked up on the turn and away he went, safely holding a margin. He steps up to 78 grade, but he’s likeable once again.

long shot

Staying at 1200m is the knock with 3 attractive (BetNow: $14.00 TOP ODDS) but he’s a four year old with talent. He summarized at this track/distance three weeks back where he got back in the run and was never a factor, but liked the way he finished the race off behind Big Apple. J Kah on is a big tick and his best is good enough.

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If 5 Alpha One (BetNow: $3.20) can stretch its brilliance to 1100m, they’re cooking with gas. Arrogant win two back over 1000m at Hawkesbury before coming back to 955m at The Valley two weeks ago where he produced sustained speed from the front and gave nothing else to look in. He’s hard fit, in shape and with his racing style, he’ll take beating.

danger

i say 3 Millane (BetNow: $6.00) is here to rock and roll first up. Peter Moody trained colt that summarizes, having not raced since a strong debut win down the track at Flemington in March and after that win, he was touted as a Slipper horse. Instead he was spelled. He has come back and with three jumpouts under the belt, he’s ready to go IMO and the stable has been low flying with their first up horses recently.

long shot

6 Giga Kick (BetNow: $4.20) faces a good test here but all you can do is win and that is what he has done in two career outings. He summarized four weeks back down the straight at Flemington where he was a notable drifter in betting but it mattered not to him, winning comfortably. He beat nothing, but beware the unbeaten horse.

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8 Winnertakestall (BetNow: $21.00) has come back in really good order. Team Snowden filly that summarized over 955m at The Valley where she had the suck run behind the speed before Dee angled her clear and in a driving go, she finished best to win and win well. Ella she’s got room for improvement and up to 1100m, she’s hard to beat once again.

danger

12 Waltz On By (BetNow: $6.00) is a very interesting runner. Peter Moody trained filly that resumes after a three run Autumn prep, where she placed in the Talindert before finishing around midfield in the Blue Diamond. Her recent jumpout from her was quite good and she maps ideally for Jamie Kah for a stable that is absolutely flying.

long shot

5 Ojai (BetNow: $17.00) looks a short course type so resuming at 1100m I do like for this James Cummings filly. She had a busy Autumn Carnival, contesting all the good races, and while she didn’t measure up, she was far from disgraced. Two trials leading in have been solid and stable loves to target these lower level blacktype races with their second/third tier gallopers.

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6 Showmanship (BetNow: $5.50) is a high quality horse when right and despite bigger fish to fry, he has the class/quality to round these up. He had one run for the O’Brien camp in the Autumn, which came in the Wangoom at Warrnambool when a narrow third to Frankie Pinot. Just one quiet jumpout leading into this run, but if he’s within range, he’s got the finale to overhaul them.

danger

This is a good test for 11 Uncommon James (BetNow: $2.40) but he does look quite a promising horse. 2/2 this time in, both starts and wins coming in Queensland, bolting up fresh at Eagle Farm before repeating the dose in style at Doomben. He’s probably the best of the O’Dea/Hoysted team that are in Melbourne so keen to see how he goes at this level.

long shot

7 Happy (BetNow: $19.00) looks to be back on track. She was a pretty plain return in the Monash behind Mileva but she bounced back to positive form with a fighting fourth in the Bletchingly behind King Of Sparta. Third up now and hard fit, we know her best from her is clearly good enough to beat these.

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5 Buffalo River (BetNow: $12.00) tends to race well on the fresh side and with a soft lead, potentially, on the cards, I think he’s worth a gamble. I have had a frustrating Autumn/Winter prep, plagued by wide gates, ordinary rides etc. Caulfield 1400m suits his racing style from him, he’ll roll forward and with a bit of juice in the track, he’ll take beating.

danger

Class will carry 2 Mr Brightside (BetNow: $3.50) to long way. Team Hayes trained gelding that resumes, with eyes towards the Cox Plate, so how wound up he is, not sure, but he is the class runner having won the Doncaster last run last prep, which followed an excellent effort in the All Star Mile. He has to be respected.

long shot

I think the weather conditions are crucial to 3 Streets Of Avalon (BetNow: $15.00). He is a dead set dry tracker who summarized in the Bletchingly and he struggled to pick his feet up on a shifty track. Hopefully he finds a firmer deck and we know his class of him being a multiple Group l winner.

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4 Lucky Choice (BetNow: $9.00) is an improver. Peter Moody trained gelding that summarized behind Here To Shock a few weeks back at Caulfield and I thought he did a satisfactory job after doing work in the run on a somewhat testing track. Fitter, firmer deck (hopefully), he’s a key threat.

danger

10 Sig Positano (BetNow: $12.00) is racing well but is finding it quite hard to win. He ran behind Nerone at Sandown at the midweeks where he seemingly had every gain from near the speed and battled away okay but was well held late by the Laming horse. Back on a track he likes, surely he’s nearing D-Day.

long shot

14 Unbelievable Dream (BetNow: $16.00) deserves another chance. Maher/Eustace trained mare that summarized down the Flemington straight a few weeks back down the straight where she was near the speed throughout and tried hard, but condition just gave way behind Nicolini Vito. Fitter, she can bounce back.

BEST BET: Race Four Number 5 I Am Bene

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 4 She’s All Class

LONG SHOT: Race One Number 3 Midnight Blue

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

LegOne: 3, 5, 6, 8, 12

LegTwo: 1, 6, 7, 11

Leg Three: 2. 3. 4. 5

Leg Four: 4, 10, 11, 14, 16

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